Spain vs Turkey analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.6%
Win probability
2.89
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.3%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
10%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.8%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.7%
14.3%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
14.3%
11.1%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 1957 |
ESP
4 - 1
SCO
58%
20%
22%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1957 |
SCO
4 - 2
ESP
48%
23%
28%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 1957 |
BEL
0 - 5
ESP
49%
22%
30%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 1957 |
ESP
2 - 2
SUI
76%
14%
10%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 1957 |
ESP
5 - 1
NED
73%
15%
12%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Turkey
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 1957 |
POL
0 - 1
TUR
42%
20%
38%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1956 |
CSK
1 - 1
TUR
68%
17%
15%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1956 |
TUR
1 - 1
POL
63%
18%
20%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1956 |
TUR
0 - 1
BRA
37%
23%
41%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1956 |
POR
3 - 1
TUR
46%
20%
34%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | -1 |