Spain vs Turkey analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.2%
Win probability
2.95
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.5%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
5.5%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.3%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
16%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.4%
13.9%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
13.9%
10.8%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 1953 |
ESP
2 - 2
SWE
61%
19%
21%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 1953 |
CHI
1 - 2
ESP
46%
22%
32%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 1953 |
ARG
1 - 0
ESP
72%
16%
12%
|
84 | 90 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1953 |
ESP
3 - 1
BEL
74%
14%
12%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | +1 |
| 28 Dec. 1952 |
ESP
2 - 2
GER
54%
20%
26%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Turkey
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 1953 |
TUR
2 - 2
YUG
43%
22%
35%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 May. 1953 |
SUI
1 - 2
TUR
51%
19%
30%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Jul. 1952 |
HUN
7 - 1
TUR
86%
9%
6%
|
73 | 87 | 14 | -1 |
| 21 Jul. 1952 |
TUR
2 - 1
ANT
88%
8%
4%
|
73 | 23 | 50 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 1952 |
TUR
0 - 0
ESP
44%
22%
34%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | +1 |