Spain vs Switzerland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86%
Win probability
3.44
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1%
7-0
1.7%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.3%
6-0
3.4%
7-1
1.3%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.9%
5-0
5.8%
6-1
2.7%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
9.1%
4-0
8.5%
5-1
4.6%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
14.3%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
6.7%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.7%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
5%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.7%
9%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
3.9%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
9%
4.9%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
3.6%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 1966 |
ARG
2 - 1
ESP
68%
18%
15%
|
86 | 89 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 1966 |
ESP
1 - 1
URU
70%
17%
14%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1965 |
ESP
0 - 2
ENG
47%
21%
31%
|
86 | 89 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1965 |
ESP
1 - 0
IRL
81%
12%
7%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1965 |
ESP
4 - 1
IRL
80%
12%
8%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Switzerland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul. 1966 |
BRD
5 - 0
SUI
84%
10%
6%
|
66 | 85 | 19 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 1966 |
SUI
1 - 1
MEX
42%
23%
36%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 1966 |
HUN
3 - 1
SUI
91%
7%
3%
|
66 | 91 | 25 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1966 |
SUI
2 - 2
SUN
42%
24%
34%
|
66 | 83 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1965 |
SUI
2 - 1
NED
54%
20%
26%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |