Spain vs Sweden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.9%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.1%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
13%
3-1
6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.4%
13.7%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2007 |
FIN
0 - 0
ESP
15%
23%
63%
|
98 | 84 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2007 |
DEN
1 - 3
ESP
31%
26%
42%
|
97 | 93 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2007 |
ESP
2 - 0
LVA
84%
13%
3%
|
98 | 73 | 25 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2007 |
ISL
1 - 1
ESP
11%
21%
68%
|
98 | 79 | 19 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2007 |
GRC
2 - 3
ESP
19%
25%
56%
|
98 | 90 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Sweden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2007 |
SWE
1 - 1
NIR
74%
18%
8%
|
92 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2007 |
LIE
0 - 3
SWE
12%
22%
66%
|
92 | 22 | 70 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2007 |
MNE
1 - 2
SWE
8%
19%
73%
|
93 | 64 | 29 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2007 |
SWE
0 - 0
DEN
45%
26%
29%
|
93 | 93 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2007 |
SWE
1 - 0
USA
51%
26%
23%
|
92 | 92 | 0 | +1 |