Spain vs Sweden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.5%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
20.5%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 1988 |
ESP
0 - 0
SCO
61%
23%
16%
|
91 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1988 |
FRA
2 - 1
ESP
49%
27%
24%
|
91 | 91 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1988 |
ESP
1 - 2
CSK
60%
24%
16%
|
91 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 1988 |
ESP
0 - 0
DDR
62%
23%
16%
|
91 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1987 |
ESP
5 - 0
ALB
92%
6%
2%
|
91 | 65 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Sweden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 1988 |
SWE
4 - 1
WAL
61%
25%
14%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1988 |
SWE
2 - 0
SUN
32%
30%
39%
|
89 | 93 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1988 |
GER
1 - 1
SWE
27%
25%
48%
|
89 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1988 |
FIN
0 - 1
SWE
24%
27%
49%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 1988 |
DDR
1 - 4
SWE
56%
24%
20%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | 0 |