Spain vs Sweden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.5%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
20.6%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 1920 |
BEL
3 - 1
ESP
62%
19%
19%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1920 |
ESP
1 - 0
DEN
46%
23%
31%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Sweden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 1920 |
NED
5 - 4
SWE
73%
15%
12%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1920 |
SWE
9 - 0
GRC
63%
19%
18%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | +1 |
| 27 Jun. 1920 |
NOR
0 - 3
SWE
46%
23%
31%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 Jun. 1920 |
SWE
0 - 1
SUI
74%
15%
11%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 May. 1920 |
SWE
4 - 0
FIN
76%
14%
10%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | +1 |