Spain vs San Marino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
95.7%
Win probability
3.74
Expected goals
10-0
0.3%
+10
0.3%
9-0
0.8%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.8%
8-0
1.9%
9-1
0.1%
+8
2%
7-0
4%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
4.4%
6-0
7.5%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
<0%
+6
8.3%
5-0
12%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
13.5%
4-0
16.1%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
18.4%
3-0
17.2%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.2%
+3
20.4%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
2.5%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
10.3%
3.6%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
1.4%
2-2
0.2%
3-3
<0%
0
3.6%
0.6%
Win probability
0.18
Expected goals
0-1
0.4%
1-2
0.1%
2-3
0%
-1
0.5%
0-2
0%
-2
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 1999 |
ESP
3 - 1
CRO
87%
9%
4%
|
97 | 89 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1999 |
SMR
0 - 6
ESP
3%
14%
83%
|
97 | 48 | 49 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1999 |
ESP
9 - 0
AUT
70%
18%
12%
|
97 | 89 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1998 |
ITA
2 - 2
ESP
48%
26%
26%
|
97 | 98 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1998 |
ISR
1 - 2
ESP
16%
24%
59%
|
96 | 83 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
San Marino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 1999 |
AUT
7 - 0
SMR
96%
3%
1%
|
48 | 89 | 41 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1999 |
SMR
0 - 6
ESP
3%
14%
83%
|
48 | 97 | 49 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1999 |
CYP
4 - 0
SMR
79%
14%
7%
|
49 | 67 | 18 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 1998 |
SMR
0 - 1
CYP
26%
23%
51%
|
49 | 66 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1998 |
SMR
1 - 4
AUT
1%
9%
89%
|
49 | 88 | 39 | 0 |