Spain vs Romania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.4%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.3%
13.4%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 1997 |
ESP
3 - 1
FRO
95%
4%
1%
|
96 | 57 | 39 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1997 |
SVK
1 - 2
ESP
9%
20%
72%
|
96 | 81 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 1997 |
ESP
1 - 0
CZE
90%
8%
3%
|
96 | 85 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1997 |
YUG
1 - 1
ESP
44%
26%
30%
|
96 | 94 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1997 |
ESP
4 - 0
MLT
81%
14%
6%
|
95 | 56 | 39 | +1 |
Matches
Romania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 1997 |
IRL
1 - 1
ROU
39%
27%
34%
|
91 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1997 |
ROU
4 - 0
ISL
78%
16%
7%
|
90 | 72 | 18 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 1997 |
LIE
1 - 8
ROU
11%
21%
68%
|
90 | 9 | 81 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 1997 |
ROU
4 - 2
MKD
90%
8%
3%
|
90 | 72 | 18 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1997 |
ROU
1 - 0
IRL
56%
24%
20%
|
90 | 89 | 1 | 0 |