Spain vs Romania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.9%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.3%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
21%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21%
13.1%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 1991 |
ESP
2 - 4
HUN
63%
22%
15%
|
92 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1991 |
FRA
3 - 1
ESP
49%
27%
24%
|
92 | 93 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1991 |
ESP
1 - 1
POR
71%
20%
10%
|
92 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1990 |
ESP
9 - 0
ALB
94%
5%
1%
|
92 | 64 | 28 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1990 |
CSK
3 - 2
ESP
45%
27%
27%
|
92 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Romania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 1991 |
SUI
0 - 0
ROU
40%
28%
32%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1991 |
SMR
1 - 3
ROU
4%
16%
80%
|
87 | 61 | 26 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1990 |
ROU
6 - 0
SMR
92%
6%
2%
|
87 | 61 | 26 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1990 |
CRO
2 - 0
ROU
28%
25%
47%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1990 |
ROU
0 - 3
BGR
64%
23%
14%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | -1 |