Spain vs Romania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.8%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.2%
3-0
10%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.3%
2-0
15.2%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
15.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
25.9%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
19.5%
9.8%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 1978 |
FRA
1 - 0
ESP
43%
28%
29%
|
90 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1978 |
YUG
1 - 2
ESP
46%
27%
27%
|
90 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 1978 |
ESP
1 - 0
SWE
68%
18%
14%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Jun. 1978 |
BRA
0 - 0
ESP
72%
17%
11%
|
89 | 93 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 1978 |
AUT
2 - 1
ESP
52%
25%
24%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Romania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 1978 |
ROU
3 - 2
YUG
48%
25%
27%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1978 |
ROU
1 - 0
POL
46%
25%
29%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 May. 1978 |
BGR
1 - 1
ROU
51%
26%
23%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 May. 1978 |
ROU
0 - 1
SUN
46%
27%
27%
|
84 | 89 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 May. 1978 |
ROU
2 - 0
BGR
67%
20%
13%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | +1 |