Spain vs Romania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.1%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.5%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.7%
2-0
15.2%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
17.4%
8.5%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 1975 |
ESP
1 - 1
SCO
67%
20%
13%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1974 |
SCO
1 - 2
ESP
44%
28%
28%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1974 |
ARG
1 - 1
ESP
54%
25%
21%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1974 |
DEN
1 - 2
ESP
36%
28%
36%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1974 |
ESP
1 - 0
GER
54%
24%
23%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Romania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 1975 |
CSK
1 - 1
ROU
74%
17%
9%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1975 |
TUR
1 - 1
ROU
37%
26%
37%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1974 |
ISR
0 - 1
ROU
46%
25%
29%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1974 |
DEN
0 - 0
ROU
44%
25%
31%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1974 |
BGR
0 - 0
ROU
60%
23%
17%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |