Spain vs Ireland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.6%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.3%
3-0
11.9%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.9%
2-0
17.3%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.3%
1-0
16.9%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.8%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.2%
0
17.6%
6.8%
Win probability
0.44
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 1983 |
ESP
1 - 0
NED
54%
25%
21%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1982 |
IRL
3 - 3
ESP
31%
29%
40%
|
89 | 76 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1982 |
ESP
1 - 0
ISL
88%
9%
3%
|
89 | 56 | 33 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 1982 |
ESP
0 - 0
ENG
46%
24%
31%
|
89 | 92 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 1982 |
BRD
2 - 1
ESP
83%
11%
6%
|
89 | 94 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Ireland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 1983 |
MLT
0 - 1
IRL
24%
24%
52%
|
77 | 58 | 19 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1982 |
IRL
3 - 3
ESP
31%
29%
40%
|
76 | 89 | 13 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 1982 |
IRL
2 - 0
ISL
83%
11%
6%
|
76 | 56 | 20 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1982 |
NED
2 - 1
IRL
76%
17%
7%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 May. 1982 |
TTO
2 - 1
IRL
31%
24%
46%
|
77 | 58 | 19 | -1 |