Spain vs Ireland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.9%
Win probability
3.05
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.2%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.8%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
3.8%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.6%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.5%
11.8%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
11.8%
7.2%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 1965 |
ESP
4 - 1
IRL
80%
12%
8%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1965 |
SCO
0 - 0
ESP
53%
22%
26%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1965 |
IRL
1 - 0
ESP
35%
23%
42%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1964 |
POR
2 - 1
ESP
30%
23%
47%
|
86 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 1964 |
ESP
2 - 1
SUN
81%
12%
7%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Ireland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 1965 |
ESP
4 - 1
IRL
80%
12%
8%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1965 |
IRL
1 - 0
ESP
35%
23%
42%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 1965 |
IRL
0 - 2
BEL
55%
21%
24%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 1964 |
IRL
3 - 2
POL
59%
20%
21%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | +1 |
| 24 May. 1964 |
IRL
1 - 3
ENG
28%
21%
51%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | -1 |