Spain vs Ireland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.7%
Win probability
2.94
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.6%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.7%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.6%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.4%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.4%
13.5%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
13.5%
9.8%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0.1%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 1948 |
ESP
2 - 0
POR
76%
14%
10%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1947 |
IRL
3 - 2
ESP
46%
22%
32%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1947 |
POR
4 - 1
ESP
41%
23%
36%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 1946 |
ESP
0 - 1
IRL
77%
14%
10%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | -1 |
| 06 May. 1945 |
ESP
4 - 2
POR
76%
14%
10%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Ireland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 1948 |
POR
2 - 0
IRL
56%
19%
26%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1947 |
IRL
0 - 2
POR
60%
18%
22%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 1947 |
IRL
3 - 2
ESP
46%
22%
32%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 1946 |
IRL
0 - 1
ENG
33%
21%
47%
|
73 | 86 | 13 | -1 |
| 23 Jun. 1946 |
ESP
0 - 1
IRL
77%
14%
10%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | +1 |