Spain vs East Germany analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.7%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.8%
15.5%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 1987 |
ESP
5 - 0
ALB
92%
6%
2%
|
91 | 65 | 26 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1987 |
ESP
2 - 0
AUT
64%
22%
14%
|
91 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1987 |
ESP
2 - 0
LUX
90%
8%
2%
|
91 | 35 | 56 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1987 |
ROU
3 - 1
ESP
38%
28%
34%
|
91 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1987 |
AUT
2 - 3
ESP
43%
27%
30%
|
91 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
East Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 1988 |
CSK
1 - 0
DDR
56%
24%
20%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1988 |
DDR
1 - 4
SWE
56%
24%
20%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1987 |
FRA
0 - 1
DDR
58%
24%
18%
|
89 | 91 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1987 |
ITA
1 - 1
DDR
62%
23%
15%
|
89 | 92 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1987 |
DDR
3 - 1
NOR
76%
16%
8%
|
89 | 76 | 13 | 0 |