Spain vs Portugal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.3%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.5%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.3%
15.4%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 1932 |
ESP
2 - 1
YUG
83%
11%
6%
|
83 | 38 | 45 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1931 |
IRL
0 - 5
ESP
42%
23%
35%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 1931 |
ENG
7 - 1
ESP
62%
19%
19%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1931 |
ESP
1 - 1
IRL
71%
16%
13%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1931 |
ESP
0 - 0
ITA
59%
20%
20%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Portugal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 1933 |
POR
1 - 0
HUN
40%
22%
38%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1932 |
POR
3 - 2
YUG
82%
11%
7%
|
73 | 38 | 35 | 0 |
| 31 May. 1931 |
POR
3 - 2
BEL
54%
21%
25%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 1931 |
POR
0 - 2
ITA
42%
24%
34%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 1930 |
POR
0 - 1
ESP
42%
24%
34%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | 0 |