Spain vs Portugal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.6%
Win probability
2.67
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.5%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.5%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
8%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
16%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16%
13.4%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 1933 |
ESP
13 - 0
BGR
69%
17%
14%
|
82 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1933 |
YUG
1 - 1
ESP
27%
23%
51%
|
82 | 42 | 40 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1933 |
FRA
1 - 0
ESP
37%
23%
41%
|
83 | 61 | 22 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 1933 |
ESP
3 - 0
POR
67%
17%
15%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 1932 |
ESP
2 - 1
YUG
83%
11%
6%
|
82 | 36 | 46 | 0 |
Matches
Portugal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 1933 |
ESP
3 - 0
POR
67%
17%
15%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1933 |
POR
1 - 0
HUN
40%
22%
38%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | +1 |
| 03 May. 1932 |
POR
3 - 2
YUG
82%
11%
7%
|
72 | 36 | 36 | 0 |
| 31 May. 1931 |
POR
3 - 2
BEL
54%
21%
25%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 1931 |
POR
0 - 2
ITA
42%
24%
34%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | -1 |