Spain vs Poland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.2%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
10%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
22.6%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 1980 |
DDR
0 - 0
ESP
58%
24%
18%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1980 |
HUN
2 - 2
ESP
65%
22%
14%
|
88 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 1980 |
ESP
1 - 2
ENG
46%
24%
30%
|
88 | 92 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 1980 |
BEL
2 - 1
ESP
55%
23%
22%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Jun. 1980 |
ESP
0 - 0
ITA
51%
24%
26%
|
89 | 92 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Poland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 1980 |
ARG
2 - 1
POL
62%
22%
16%
|
88 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1980 |
POL
1 - 1
CSK
54%
24%
22%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 1980 |
COL
1 - 4
POL
20%
26%
54%
|
87 | 67 | 20 | +1 |
| 02 Jul. 1980 |
BOL
0 - 1
POL
23%
26%
51%
|
87 | 68 | 19 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 1980 |
BRA
1 - 1
POL
73%
18%
9%
|
87 | 94 | 7 | 0 |