Spain vs Norway analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.6%
Win probability
2.75
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.7%
5-0
4.7%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.1%
4-0
8.6%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.7%
3-0
12.4%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.2%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
+2
22.3%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
12%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
12%
5.4%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.2%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2022 |
MAR
0 - 0
ESP
17%
21%
63%
|
95 | 89 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2022 |
JPN
2 - 1
ESP
15%
19%
66%
|
95 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
ESP
1 - 1
GER
56%
21%
24%
|
95 | 92 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2022 |
ESP
7 - 0
CRC
87%
10%
3%
|
95 | 84 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2022 |
POR
0 - 1
ESP
33%
24%
43%
|
95 | 93 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Norway
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
NOR
1 - 1
FIN
58%
23%
19%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2022 |
IRL
1 - 2
NOR
39%
27%
35%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2022 |
NOR
0 - 2
SRB
40%
27%
34%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
SVN
2 - 1
NOR
26%
26%
47%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 Jun. 2022 |
NOR
3 - 2
SWE
31%
27%
42%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | +1 |