Spain vs Liechtenstein analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.2%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.9%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
<0%
+5
5.7%
4-0
9.8%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
11.6%
3-0
15.4%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
19%
2-0
18.1%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.9%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.3%
11.5%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
1%
3-3
0.1%
0
11.5%
3.3%
Win probability
0.34
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
0.8%
2-3
0.1%
-1
2.8%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2011 |
ESP
3 - 2
CHI
74%
18%
8%
|
99 | 92 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2011 |
ITA
2 - 1
ESP
23%
24%
53%
|
99 | 95 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2011 |
VEN
0 - 3
ESP
11%
19%
70%
|
99 | 86 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2011 |
USA
0 - 4
ESP
17%
21%
62%
|
99 | 91 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2011 |
LTU
1 - 3
ESP
7%
17%
76%
|
99 | 80 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Liechtenstein
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2011 |
LTU
0 - 0
LIE
77%
16%
7%
|
28 | 80 | 52 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2011 |
LIE
1 - 2
SUI
10%
20%
69%
|
28 | 90 | 62 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2011 |
LIE
2 - 0
LTU
12%
21%
67%
|
26 | 80 | 54 | +2 |
| 29 Mar. 2011 |
CZE
2 - 0
LIE
84%
12%
5%
|
27 | 93 | 66 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2011 |
SMR
0 - 1
LIE
85%
10%
5%
|
25 | 38 | 13 | +2 |