Spain vs Israel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.4%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5%
4-0
8.2%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.4%
3-0
13.2%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.6%
2-0
15.9%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.3%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
+1
22.1%
13.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
13.4%
5.3%
Win probability
0.48
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.3%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2000 |
BIH
1 - 2
ESP
5%
15%
79%
|
98 | 75 | 23 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2000 |
GER
4 - 1
ESP
37%
25%
37%
|
98 | 94 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2000 |
ESP
1 - 2
FRA
38%
25%
37%
|
98 | 99 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2000 |
YUG
3 - 4
ESP
30%
25%
46%
|
98 | 96 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2000 |
SVN
1 - 2
ESP
9%
19%
72%
|
98 | 79 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Israel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2000 |
ISR
2 - 0
LIE
96%
4%
0%
|
85 | 11 | 74 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2000 |
RUS
1 - 0
ISR
72%
17%
11%
|
85 | 90 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2000 |
HUN
2 - 1
ISR
52%
25%
23%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2000 |
CZE
4 - 1
ISR
78%
14%
8%
|
86 | 90 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2000 |
ISR
1 - 1
GEO
84%
11%
5%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |