Spain vs Iceland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.3%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
9%
3-0
13.7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.8%
2-0
18.6%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
24.1%
1-0
16.7%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.5%
15%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
1.2%
3-3
0.1%
0
15%
4.8%
Win probability
0.37
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
4%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 1990 |
ESP
3 - 0
BRA
38%
28%
34%
|
91 | 95 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 1990 |
ESP
1 - 2
YUG
55%
24%
21%
|
91 | 90 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 1990 |
BEL
1 - 2
ESP
47%
27%
27%
|
91 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 1990 |
KOR
1 - 3
ESP
34%
29%
37%
|
91 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 1990 |
URU
0 - 0
ESP
44%
28%
29%
|
91 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Iceland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 1990 |
CSK
1 - 0
ISL
80%
15%
5%
|
65 | 89 | 24 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1990 |
ISL
1 - 2
FRA
20%
28%
52%
|
65 | 92 | 27 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 1990 |
FRO
2 - 3
ISL
54%
24%
22%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 May. 1990 |
ISL
2 - 0
ALB
54%
24%
22%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 1990 |
USA
4 - 1
ISL
69%
18%
13%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | -1 |