Spain vs Iceland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.6%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
4.5%
4-0
8.2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
9.9%
3-0
14%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.5%
2-0
17.8%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.9%
1-0
15.1%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.2%
13.8%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
1.4%
3-3
0.1%
0
13.8%
4.6%
Win probability
0.39
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.8%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun. 1985 |
ISL
1 - 2
ESP
13%
22%
65%
|
89 | 57 | 32 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1985 |
IRL
0 - 0
ESP
29%
28%
43%
|
89 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1985 |
WAL
3 - 0
ESP
35%
29%
36%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1985 |
ESP
0 - 0
NIR
74%
18%
8%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1985 |
ESP
1 - 0
SCO
59%
24%
17%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Iceland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun. 1985 |
ISL
1 - 2
ESP
13%
22%
65%
|
57 | 89 | 32 | 0 |
| 28 May. 1985 |
ISL
0 - 1
SCO
14%
22%
64%
|
57 | 87 | 30 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1985 |
LUX
0 - 0
ISL
41%
26%
33%
|
57 | 36 | 21 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1985 |
KWT
1 - 1
ISL
80%
13%
7%
|
57 | 74 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1984 |
WAL
2 - 1
ISL
79%
14%
7%
|
57 | 83 | 26 | 0 |