EC Qualifying Etapas finales Quarter-finals
Global 2-1
Spain vs Northern Ireland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.8%
Win probability
3.14
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.6%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.7%
5-0
4.9%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.4%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
4%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.7%
3-0
10%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.1%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.8%
10.9%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
10.9%
6.3%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.5%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 1963 |
ESP
0 - 0
FRA
77%
14%
10%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1962 |
BEL
1 - 1
ESP
32%
23%
45%
|
86 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1962 |
ROU
3 - 1
ESP
27%
23%
50%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1962 |
ESP
6 - 0
ROU
83%
11%
6%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 1962 |
BRA
2 - 1
ESP
78%
13%
9%
|
86 | 91 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Northern Ireland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 1963 |
NIR
1 - 4
WAL
55%
20%
25%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1962 |
NIR
2 - 0
POL
56%
20%
25%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | +2 |
| 07 Nov. 1962 |
SCO
5 - 1
NIR
76%
15%
10%
|
64 | 83 | 19 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 1962 |
NIR
1 - 3
ENG
21%
20%
59%
|
65 | 88 | 23 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 1962 |
POL
0 - 2
NIR
73%
15%
13%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | +2 |