Spain vs England analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.9%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.2%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
22.4%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jul. 2024 |
ESP
2 - 1
FRA
56%
22%
23%
|
95 | 95 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2024 |
ESP
2 - 1
GER
58%
20%
22%
|
95 | 93 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2024 |
ESP
4 - 1
GEO
89%
8%
3%
|
95 | 79 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2024 |
ALB
0 - 1
ESP
4%
12%
84%
|
95 | 76 | 19 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2024 |
ESP
1 - 0
ITA
64%
19%
17%
|
95 | 92 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
England
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 2024 |
NED
1 - 2
ENG
46%
23%
31%
|
93 | 93 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
ENG
1 - 1
SUI
61%
21%
18%
|
94 | 89 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Jun. 2024 |
ENG
2 - 1
SVK
77%
16%
8%
|
93 | 84 | 9 | +1 |
| 25 Jun. 2024 |
ENG
0 - 0
SVN
80%
14%
6%
|
94 | 82 | 12 | -1 |
| 20 Jun. 2024 |
DEN
1 - 1
ENG
25%
23%
52%
|
94 | 90 | 4 | 0 |