Spain vs Hungary analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.2%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
19.2%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 1989 |
HUN
2 - 2
ESP
47%
26%
27%
|
91 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1989 |
ESP
1 - 0
POL
59%
23%
18%
|
91 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1989 |
IRL
1 - 0
ESP
32%
28%
39%
|
91 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1989 |
ESP
4 - 0
MLT
79%
15%
6%
|
91 | 57 | 34 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1989 |
NIR
0 - 2
ESP
27%
29%
44%
|
91 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Hungary
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 1989 |
HUN
1 - 1
GRC
79%
15%
6%
|
89 | 75 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1989 |
HUN
2 - 2
ESP
47%
26%
27%
|
89 | 91 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1989 |
NIR
1 - 2
HUN
30%
28%
42%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Jun. 1989 |
IRL
2 - 0
HUN
37%
27%
36%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 1989 |
ITA
4 - 0
HUN
59%
23%
18%
|
89 | 92 | 3 | 0 |