Spain vs Hungary analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.2%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
25.7%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 1977 |
IRL
0 - 1
ESP
32%
28%
40%
|
89 | 75 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1976 |
ESP
1 - 0
YUG
56%
24%
21%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 May. 1976 |
BRD
2 - 0
ESP
70%
19%
11%
|
89 | 92 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 1976 |
ESP
1 - 1
BRD
43%
26%
31%
|
88 | 92 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 1975 |
ROU
2 - 2
ESP
43%
27%
30%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Hungary
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 1977 |
IRN
0 - 2
HUN
21%
23%
55%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1977 |
ARG
5 - 1
HUN
48%
25%
27%
|
90 | 88 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 1977 |
MEX
1 - 1
HUN
29%
27%
44%
|
90 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1977 |
PER
3 - 2
HUN
24%
26%
50%
|
90 | 76 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1976 |
AUT
2 - 4
HUN
35%
27%
38%
|
90 | 84 | 6 | 0 |