Spain vs Netherlands analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.7%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.1%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
23.2%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 2014 |
SLV
0 - 2
ESP
4%
12%
85%
|
97 | 71 | 26 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2014 |
ESP
2 - 0
BOL
87%
10%
3%
|
97 | 81 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2014 |
ESP
1 - 0
ITA
71%
19%
11%
|
97 | 93 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2013 |
RSA
1 - 0
ESP
4%
12%
85%
|
98 | 81 | 17 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2013 |
EQG
1 - 2
ESP
2%
10%
88%
|
98 | 54 | 44 | 0 |
Matches
Netherlands
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 2014 |
NED
2 - 0
WAL
84%
12%
4%
|
94 | 83 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2014 |
NED
1 - 0
GHA
85%
12%
4%
|
94 | 83 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2014 |
NED
1 - 1
ECU
74%
17%
9%
|
94 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2014 |
FRA
2 - 0
NED
30%
26%
44%
|
95 | 93 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2013 |
NED
0 - 0
COL
72%
18%
10%
|
95 | 91 | 4 | 0 |