Spain vs Netherlands analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.5%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.4%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
26.5%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2000 |
AUT
1 - 1
ESP
23%
24%
53%
|
98 | 89 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2000 |
ESP
2 - 0
ISR
81%
13%
5%
|
98 | 85 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2000 |
BIH
1 - 2
ESP
5%
15%
79%
|
98 | 75 | 23 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2000 |
GER
4 - 1
ESP
37%
25%
37%
|
98 | 94 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2000 |
ESP
1 - 2
FRA
38%
25%
37%
|
98 | 99 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Netherlands
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2000 |
NED
0 - 2
POR
66%
21%
14%
|
98 | 95 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2000 |
CYP
0 - 4
NED
11%
20%
70%
|
98 | 72 | 26 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2000 |
NED
2 - 2
IRL
74%
17%
9%
|
98 | 91 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2000 |
ITA
0 - 0
NED
40%
25%
35%
|
98 | 98 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2000 |
NED
6 - 1
YUG
55%
22%
23%
|
97 | 96 | 1 | +1 |