Spain vs France analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.6%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.4%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
22.6%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jul. 2024 |
ESP
2 - 1
GER
58%
20%
22%
|
95 | 93 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2024 |
ESP
4 - 1
GEO
89%
8%
3%
|
95 | 79 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2024 |
ALB
0 - 1
ESP
4%
12%
84%
|
95 | 76 | 19 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2024 |
ESP
1 - 0
ITA
64%
19%
17%
|
95 | 92 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
ESP
3 - 0
CRO
67%
18%
15%
|
95 | 91 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
France
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jul. 2024 |
POR
0 - 0
FRA
43%
24%
33%
|
95 | 93 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2024 |
FRA
1 - 0
BEL
50%
23%
28%
|
95 | 93 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2024 |
FRA
1 - 1
POL
73%
16%
11%
|
95 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2024 |
NED
0 - 0
FRA
45%
24%
31%
|
95 | 93 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2024 |
AUT
0 - 1
FRA
21%
23%
56%
|
95 | 87 | 8 | 0 |