Spain vs France analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.8%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
32.6%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jun. 2006 |
KSA
0 - 1
ESP
2%
11%
87%
|
99 | 85 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2006 |
ESP
3 - 1
TUN
91%
8%
2%
|
99 | 86 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2006 |
ESP
4 - 0
UKR
91%
8%
2%
|
99 | 87 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2006 |
CRO
1 - 2
ESP
22%
26%
51%
|
99 | 92 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2006 |
ESP
2 - 0
EGY
78%
16%
6%
|
99 | 89 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
France
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jun. 2006 |
TOG
0 - 2
FRA
5%
18%
77%
|
99 | 68 | 31 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2006 |
FRA
1 - 1
KOR
85%
11%
4%
|
99 | 90 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2006 |
FRA
0 - 0
SUI
85%
11%
4%
|
99 | 90 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2006 |
FRA
3 - 1
CHN
81%
15%
5%
|
99 | 85 | 14 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2006 |
FRA
2 - 0
DEN
64%
22%
14%
|
99 | 95 | 4 | 0 |