Spain vs France analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.3%
Win probability
3.03
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.5%
5-0
3%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
5.4%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
10%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
2.3%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
15.4%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
8%
4-2
3.8%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
8%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.1%
14.2%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
14.2%
12.5%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Dec. 1941 |
ESP
3 - 2
SUI
76%
14%
10%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1941 |
ESP
5 - 1
POR
75%
14%
11%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1941 |
POR
2 - 2
ESP
40%
23%
37%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1936 |
SUI
0 - 2
ESP
41%
22%
37%
|
83 | 64 | 19 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1936 |
CSK
1 - 0
ESP
60%
19%
21%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
France
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 1942 |
FRA
0 - 2
SUI
61%
19%
20%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1940 |
FRA
3 - 2
POR
59%
19%
22%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 May. 1939 |
FRA
2 - 1
WAL
58%
20%
23%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 May. 1939 |
BEL
1 - 3
FRA
47%
20%
33%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1939 |
FRA
2 - 2
HUN
35%
21%
44%
|
67 | 81 | 14 | +1 |