Spain vs France analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.2%
Win probability
2.75
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.4%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.9%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.7%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.4%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
15.6%
13.2%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 1929 |
ESP
5 - 0
POR
66%
18%
16%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 1928 |
ITA
7 - 1
ESP
48%
23%
29%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 1928 |
ITA
1 - 1
ESP
48%
23%
29%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 May. 1928 |
ESP
7 - 1
MEX
61%
20%
20%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1928 |
ESP
1 - 1
ITA
64%
19%
18%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
France
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 1929 |
FRA
2 - 0
POR
44%
23%
34%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1929 |
FRA
3 - 0
HUN
31%
22%
47%
|
58 | 78 | 20 | +3 |
| 29 May. 1928 |
FRA
3 - 4
ITA
36%
24%
41%
|
59 | 77 | 18 | -1 |
| 17 May. 1928 |
FRA
1 - 5
ENG
28%
22%
51%
|
59 | 81 | 22 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1928 |
FRA
0 - 2
CSK
33%
24%
43%
|
60 | 81 | 21 | -1 |