Spain vs Finland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.8%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.8%
4-0
8.3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
10.2%
3-0
13.8%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.7%
2-0
17%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.7%
1-0
14%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.6%
13.5%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
6%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
13.5%
4.8%
Win probability
0.42
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.9%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 1984 |
SCO
3 - 1
ESP
46%
27%
27%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1984 |
ESP
3 - 0
WAL
72%
19%
9%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 1984 |
FRA
2 - 0
ESP
55%
25%
20%
|
89 | 90 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 1984 |
DEN
1 - 1
ESP
48%
26%
26%
|
90 | 83 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Jun. 1984 |
ESP
1 - 0
BRD
36%
27%
37%
|
89 | 95 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Finland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 1984 |
KSA
2 - 1
FIN
63%
19%
19%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1984 |
NIR
2 - 1
FIN
75%
16%
9%
|
58 | 82 | 24 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1984 |
TUR
1 - 2
FIN
65%
21%
14%
|
57 | 70 | 13 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 1984 |
ENG
5 - 0
FIN
84%
12%
4%
|
58 | 92 | 34 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 1984 |
FIN
0 - 2
POL
15%
21%
65%
|
58 | 88 | 30 | 0 |