Spain vs USA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.5%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
+6
1.3%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
8.6%
3-0
12.8%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.3%
2-0
17.3%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.6%
1-0
15.5%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.4%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
15.6%
5.8%
Win probability
0.44
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 1992 |
ESP
1 - 1
SUN
48%
27%
25%
|
91 | 93 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1992 |
POR
0 - 0
ESP
32%
30%
39%
|
91 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1991 |
ESP
2 - 1
CSK
57%
25%
19%
|
91 | 91 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1991 |
ESP
1 - 2
FRA
44%
27%
29%
|
91 | 93 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1991 |
ISL
2 - 0
ESP
18%
26%
56%
|
91 | 67 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
USA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 1992 |
BRA
3 - 0
USA
83%
13%
4%
|
78 | 95 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1992 |
SLV
2 - 0
USA
36%
27%
38%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 1992 |
CRC
0 - 0
USA
62%
21%
16%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1992 |
USA
2 - 1
SUN
21%
29%
50%
|
78 | 93 | 15 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 1992 |
USA
0 - 1
SUN
21%
28%
51%
|
78 | 93 | 15 | 0 |