Spain vs Scotland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.6%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
4%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.2%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
13%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
17.6%
16.8%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.3%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 1963 |
ESP
1 - 1
NIR
83%
11%
6%
|
86 | 64 | 22 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 1963 |
ESP
0 - 0
FRA
77%
14%
10%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1962 |
BEL
1 - 1
ESP
32%
23%
45%
|
86 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1962 |
ROU
3 - 1
ESP
27%
23%
50%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1962 |
ESP
6 - 0
ROU
83%
11%
6%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Scotland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 1963 |
IRL
1 - 0
SCO
41%
22%
36%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 1963 |
NOR
4 - 3
SCO
31%
23%
46%
|
84 | 65 | 19 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1963 |
SCO
4 - 1
AUT
55%
21%
24%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1963 |
ENG
1 - 2
SCO
78%
13%
10%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 1962 |
SCO
5 - 1
NIR
76%
15%
10%
|
83 | 64 | 19 | 0 |