Spain vs Scotland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.2%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
7%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
19.9%
22.1%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 1957 |
SCO
4 - 2
ESP
48%
23%
28%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1957 |
BEL
0 - 5
ESP
49%
22%
30%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1957 |
ESP
2 - 2
SUI
76%
14%
10%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 1957 |
ESP
5 - 1
NED
73%
15%
12%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 1956 |
POR
3 - 1
ESP
44%
23%
34%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Scotland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 1957 |
GER
1 - 3
SCO
65%
18%
17%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1957 |
SUI
1 - 2
SCO
47%
22%
31%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1957 |
SCO
4 - 2
ESP
48%
23%
28%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1957 |
ENG
2 - 1
SCO
80%
12%
8%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1956 |
SCO
2 - 0
YUG
48%
23%
30%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | +1 |