Spain vs Denmark analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.6%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
+6
1.2%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
8.3%
3-0
12.5%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.9%
2-0
17.1%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.5%
1-0
15.6%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.7%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
16.1%
6.3%
Win probability
0.45
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 1979 |
ESP
0 - 1
YUG
58%
24%
19%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1979 |
ESP
1 - 1
POR
68%
21%
12%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1979 |
ROU
2 - 2
ESP
46%
27%
27%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1979 |
CSK
1 - 0
ESP
56%
25%
20%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1978 |
ITA
1 - 0
ESP
61%
24%
16%
|
90 | 91 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Denmark
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 1979 |
BGR
3 - 0
DEN
58%
21%
21%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1979 |
DEN
1 - 0
FIN
84%
10%
6%
|
76 | 56 | 20 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1979 |
ENG
1 - 0
DEN
84%
12%
4%
|
76 | 92 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1979 |
FIN
0 - 0
DEN
32%
25%
43%
|
76 | 56 | 20 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 1979 |
DEN
1 - 2
SUN
28%
27%
44%
|
76 | 90 | 14 | 0 |