Spain vs Chile analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.2%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.4%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.4%
10.4%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jun. 2014 |
ESP
1 - 5
NED
55%
22%
23%
|
97 | 95 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2014 |
SLV
0 - 2
ESP
4%
12%
85%
|
97 | 71 | 26 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2014 |
ESP
2 - 0
BOL
87%
10%
3%
|
97 | 81 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2014 |
ESP
1 - 0
ITA
71%
19%
11%
|
97 | 93 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2013 |
RSA
1 - 0
ESP
4%
12%
85%
|
98 | 81 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Chile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jun. 2014 |
CHI
3 - 1
AUS
63%
20%
17%
|
90 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2014 |
CHI
2 - 0
NIR
85%
11%
4%
|
90 | 75 | 15 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2014 |
CHI
3 - 2
EGY
65%
20%
15%
|
90 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2014 |
GER
1 - 0
CHI
76%
15%
9%
|
90 | 95 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2014 |
CHI
4 - 0
CRC
72%
18%
10%
|
90 | 85 | 5 | 0 |