Spain vs Bulgaria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.7%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
8.2%
3-0
12%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.6%
2-0
16.3%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.1%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.5%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
16.3%
6.9%
Win probability
0.5
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2002 |
ESP
0 - 0
PAR
75%
17%
8%
|
98 | 91 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2002 |
ESP
3 - 0
NIR
83%
13%
4%
|
98 | 85 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2002 |
GRC
0 - 2
ESP
21%
23%
56%
|
98 | 88 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2002 |
HUN
1 - 1
ESP
18%
22%
60%
|
98 | 86 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2002 |
ESP
0 - 0
KOR
81%
13%
7%
|
98 | 91 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Bulgaria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2002 |
BGR
2 - 1
AND
94%
5%
1%
|
89 | 57 | 32 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2002 |
BGR
2 - 0
CRO
44%
26%
30%
|
89 | 91 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2002 |
BEL
0 - 2
BGR
64%
22%
14%
|
88 | 93 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2002 |
BGR
2 - 2
GER
26%
25%
48%
|
88 | 96 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2002 |
MEX
1 - 0
BGR
64%
21%
15%
|
88 | 91 | 3 | 0 |