Spain vs Brazil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.4%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
30.2%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 1986 |
ESP
3 - 0
POL
58%
24%
18%
|
90 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1986 |
ESP
3 - 0
BEL
62%
24%
15%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 1986 |
ESP
2 - 0
SUN
36%
29%
35%
|
89 | 93 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1985 |
ESP
2 - 0
BGR
71%
20%
10%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1985 |
ESP
0 - 0
AUT
60%
24%
17%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Brazil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 1986 |
BRA
1 - 1
CHI
81%
14%
5%
|
94 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1986 |
BRA
4 - 2
YUG
70%
19%
11%
|
94 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1986 |
BRA
3 - 0
FIN
84%
12%
4%
|
94 | 61 | 33 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1986 |
BRA
3 - 0
DDR
69%
19%
11%
|
93 | 89 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 1986 |
BRA
4 - 0
PER
82%
14%
5%
|
93 | 79 | 14 | 0 |