Spain vs Brazil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.9%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.8%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.1%
17.1%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.6%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 1934 |
POR
1 - 2
ESP
40%
24%
37%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1934 |
ESP
9 - 0
POR
71%
16%
13%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 May. 1933 |
ESP
13 - 0
BGR
69%
17%
14%
|
82 | 68 | 14 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 1933 |
YUG
1 - 1
ESP
27%
23%
51%
|
82 | 42 | 40 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1933 |
FRA
1 - 0
ESP
37%
23%
41%
|
83 | 61 | 22 | -1 |
Matches
Brazil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 1932 |
URU
1 - 2
BRA
62%
19%
19%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1931 |
BRA
2 - 0
URU
48%
23%
29%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 1930 |
BRA
4 - 3
USA
60%
20%
20%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 1930 |
BRA
4 - 1
YUG
86%
9%
5%
|
77 | 27 | 50 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 1930 |
BRA
3 - 2
FRA
72%
15%
13%
|
77 | 59 | 18 | 0 |