Spain vs Bosnia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.5%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.2%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
9.3%
3-0
13.7%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
17%
2-0
18%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.9%
1-0
15.7%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.9%
14.6%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
1.4%
3-3
0.1%
0
14.6%
4.9%
Win probability
0.39
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
4.1%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2008 |
DEN
0 - 3
ESP
26%
26%
48%
|
100 | 95 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2008 |
GER
0 - 1
ESP
35%
23%
42%
|
100 | 98 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2008 |
RUS
0 - 3
ESP
10%
17%
74%
|
99 | 92 | 7 | +1 |
| 22 Jun. 2008 |
ESP
0 - 0
ITA
54%
23%
23%
|
99 | 98 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2008 |
GRC
1 - 2
ESP
6%
15%
79%
|
99 | 91 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Bosnia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2008 |
BIH
1 - 2
BGR
23%
28%
49%
|
79 | 91 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2008 |
BIH
1 - 0
AZE
71%
19%
11%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2008 |
BIH
2 - 2
MKD
50%
25%
25%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2008 |
JPN
3 - 0
BIH
70%
20%
10%
|
78 | 90 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2007 |
BIH
0 - 1
POL
16%
21%
63%
|
78 | 90 | 12 | 0 |