Spain vs Belgium analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.1%
Win probability
2.59
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.8%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.2%
2-0
10%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.7%
11.2%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 1968 |
YUG
0 - 0
ESP
59%
21%
20%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1968 |
FRA
1 - 3
ESP
47%
24%
29%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1968 |
ESP
1 - 2
ENG
38%
23%
38%
|
86 | 90 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1968 |
SWE
1 - 1
ESP
58%
22%
21%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1968 |
ENG
1 - 0
ESP
77%
14%
9%
|
86 | 90 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Belgium
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 1968 |
BEL
3 - 0
YUG
43%
24%
32%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1968 |
BEL
6 - 1
FIN
82%
12%
7%
|
77 | 50 | 27 | +1 |
| 19 Jun. 1968 |
FIN
1 - 2
BEL
34%
22%
44%
|
77 | 51 | 26 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1968 |
SUN
1 - 0
BEL
68%
18%
14%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 1968 |
NED
1 - 2
BEL
50%
23%
28%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | +1 |