Spain vs Belgium analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.9%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.5%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
24.3%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 1920 |
ESP
3 - 1
NED
47%
22%
31%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1920 |
ESP
2 - 0
ITA
63%
19%
18%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1920 |
ESP
2 - 1
SWE
59%
20%
21%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 1920 |
BEL
3 - 1
ESP
62%
19%
19%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 1920 |
ESP
1 - 0
DEN
46%
23%
31%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Belgium
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 1921 |
BEL
0 - 2
ENG
56%
20%
24%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1921 |
BEL
1 - 1
NED
59%
19%
22%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1921 |
BEL
2 - 3
ITA
74%
15%
11%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1921 |
BEL
3 - 1
FRA
76%
14%
11%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1920 |
BEL
2 - 0
CSK
67%
18%
16%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | +1 |