Spain vs Austria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.4%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%
20%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
20%
26.6%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
6%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 1935 |
GER
1 - 2
ESP
58%
20%
22%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1935 |
POR
3 - 3
ESP
39%
23%
38%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1935 |
ESP
2 - 0
FRA
73%
14%
13%
|
83 | 63 | 20 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 1934 |
ITA
1 - 0
ESP
61%
19%
20%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 May. 1934 |
ITA
1 - 1
ESP
61%
19%
20%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Austria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 1935 |
POL
1 - 0
AUT
36%
21%
43%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1935 |
AUT
4 - 4
HUN
65%
17%
18%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1935 |
HUN
6 - 3
AUT
46%
21%
33%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 May. 1935 |
AUT
5 - 2
POL
74%
14%
12%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 1935 |
CSK
0 - 0
AUT
51%
20%
29%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | -1 |