Spain vs Argentina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.3%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.7%
2-0
11%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
17.1%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 1999 |
ESP
0 - 0
BRA
36%
25%
39%
|
97 | 99 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1999 |
ESP
3 - 0
ISR
82%
13%
5%
|
97 | 86 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1999 |
ESP
8 - 0
CYP
86%
11%
4%
|
97 | 69 | 28 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1999 |
AUT
1 - 3
ESP
20%
25%
55%
|
97 | 89 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 1999 |
POL
1 - 2
ESP
19%
25%
56%
|
97 | 89 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Argentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 1999 |
ARG
2 - 1
COL
65%
22%
14%
|
95 | 90 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1999 |
BRA
4 - 2
ARG
73%
17%
10%
|
95 | 99 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1999 |
ARG
2 - 0
BRA
21%
25%
55%
|
95 | 99 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 1999 |
BRA
2 - 1
ARG
77%
14%
9%
|
95 | 99 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 1999 |
ARG
2 - 0
URU
64%
21%
16%
|
94 | 90 | 4 | +1 |