Spain vs Argentina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.9%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
21.6%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 1995 |
ESP
6 - 0
CYP
80%
14%
6%
|
94 | 60 | 34 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 1995 |
ESP
1 - 0
ARM
94%
5%
1%
|
94 | 69 | 25 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1995 |
ARM
0 - 2
ESP
8%
19%
73%
|
94 | 69 | 25 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1995 |
ESP
1 - 1
BEL
64%
22%
14%
|
94 | 90 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1995 |
ESP
0 - 0
DEU
76%
15%
9%
|
94 | 90 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Argentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 1995 |
ARG
2 - 2
BRA
33%
27%
41%
|
93 | 97 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 1995 |
ARG
0 - 3
USA
75%
17%
8%
|
93 | 81 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 1995 |
ARG
4 - 0
CHL
66%
21%
13%
|
93 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 1995 |
ARG
2 - 1
BOL
77%
16%
7%
|
93 | 77 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 1995 |
ARG
2 - 0
AUS
72%
19%
9%
|
93 | 85 | 8 | 0 |