Spain vs Argentina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.3%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.6%
31.4%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
7%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 1952 |
TUR
0 - 0
ESP
44%
22%
34%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 1952 |
ESP
6 - 0
IRL
81%
12%
8%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 1951 |
SWE
0 - 0
ESP
73%
14%
13%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 1951 |
BEL
3 - 3
ESP
46%
21%
33%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1951 |
ESP
6 - 3
SUI
75%
14%
11%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Argentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 1951 |
IRL
0 - 1
ARG
30%
22%
48%
|
89 | 69 | 20 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1951 |
ENG
2 - 1
ARG
60%
19%
22%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1950 |
ARG
4 - 0
PAR
77%
13%
10%
|
89 | 74 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1950 |
ARG
2 - 2
PAR
78%
13%
9%
|
89 | 74 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1947 |
ARG
3 - 1
URU
70%
16%
14%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | +1 |