Spain vs Andorra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
91%
Win probability
3.15
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.2%
6-0
4.2%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
<0%
+6
4.9%
5-0
8.1%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
9.5%
4-0
12.8%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
15.6%
3-0
16.2%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
20.7%
2-0
15.4%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.6%
7.1%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
3.1%
2-2
0.8%
3-3
0.1%
0
7.1%
1.8%
Win probability
0.32
Expected goals
0-1
1%
1-2
0.5%
2-3
0.1%
-1
1.6%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
-2
0.2%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2024 |
ESP
3 - 3
BRA
40%
24%
36%
|
95 | 96 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2024 |
ESP
0 - 1
COL
67%
19%
14%
|
95 | 92 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
ESP
3 - 1
GEO
89%
8%
3%
|
95 | 77 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2023 |
CYP
1 - 3
ESP
3%
12%
85%
|
95 | 57 | 38 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
NOR
0 - 1
ESP
9%
17%
73%
|
95 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Andorra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2024 |
BOL
1 - 0
AND
88%
9%
3%
|
39 | 73 | 34 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2024 |
RSA
1 - 1
AND
79%
16%
6%
|
39 | 79 | 40 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2023 |
AND
0 - 2
ISR
4%
12%
84%
|
39 | 79 | 40 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
BLR
1 - 0
AND
82%
14%
4%
|
39 | 69 | 30 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
ROU
4 - 0
AND
86%
11%
3%
|
39 | 84 | 45 | 0 |